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These Four Graphs May Push the Western Cape Back Into a ‘Tougher Lockdown’

The Western Cape rests on a knife-edge: A sharp rise in new COVID-19 cases and hospitalisations has raised fears that strict lockdown measur...

The Western Cape rests on a knife-edge: A sharp rise in new COVID-19 cases and hospitalisations has raised fears that strict lockdown measures may return.


Western Cape Premier Alan Winde remains very open about the prospect of wheeling back the province’s lockdown measures, as cases continue to surge in several hot-spots. Both the Garden Route and the Cape Town Metro regions are under severe scrutiny, as local outbreaks sent the COVID-19 infection rates soaring.


COVID-19 CASES IN THE WESTERN CAPE

The neighbouring Eastern Cape is already staring down the barrel of reintroduced restrictions, with some speculating that a version of ‘Level 3 lockdown’ could return to the province. Last week, Zweli Mkhize hinted that changes were afoot – and it seems the Western Cape is heading in a similar direction.

Local hot-spots – or clusters – are driving up national numbers. With a hectic travel period due in December, the chances of the virus spreading climb sharply. South Africa could be hit by a second wave of COVID-19 if we’re not careful, and it looks like those in the south-west are already on course for some vital interventions:


WESTERN CAPE HOT-SPOTS AND THE ‘DANGEROUS DATA’


CITY OF CAPE TOWN
  • The seven-day average is 2 900. In the previous seven-day period, cases were at 1 600.
  • A total of 724 patients are currently in hospital – with dozens in ICU – after testing positive for the virus.
  • Tygerberg, Mitchell’s Plain, and the Western and Southern Suburbs have experienced the sharpest case increases.

GARDEN ROUTE
  • In the Garden Route, the seven-day average is now 2 645 cases. That’s compared to 1 190 cases in the preceding seven days.
  • A total of 242 patients are now in hospital with COVID-19.
  • George, Mossel Bay, and Knsyna have been branded the most ‘infectious’ regions, with cases more than doubling this week.


ALL MUNICIPALITIES IN THE WESTERN CAPE
  • The Garden Route is now experiencing a higher number of cases than it was during the ‘first wave’.
  • The City of Cape Town has hit a three-month high for new infections.
  • The Western Cape’s District Municipalities are averaging their worst totals since the middle of our winter surge.


WEEKLY AVERAGES PAINT A GRIM PICTURE
  • Over 1 100 people are now in hospital after being diagnosed with COVID-19.
  • The weekly average for cases in the Western Cape has almost trebled in the past eight weeks.
  • The average spiked by almost 1 000 cases – the highest figure since winter.
Western Cape Lockdown

All data provided by covid19sa, the NICD, Wits University, and the National Health Department





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